Stock price trend and valuation

  • Tesla’s share price rose over 2025, reaching record highs near US$495 before some late-year pullbacks.
  • Year-to-date, Tesla shares were up around 16% despite tech sector volatility.

 

Key drivers of performance

  • Autonomous vehicle progress, including robotaxi testing without safety monitors, boosted investor sentiment.
  • Continued electric vehicle demand and production expansion supported share performance.
  • Tesla’s AI and robotics initiatives (e.g., Optimus) became a key part of its valuation narrative.

 

Periods of volatility

  • The stock faced short-term declines tied to broader AI sell-offs and competitive pressures.
  • Regulatory scrutiny, such as Autopilot marketing in California, contributed to temporary weakness.

 

Analyst outlook and revisions

  • Analysts articulated ambitious long-term targets, with multi-trillion-dollar valuations projected contingent on execution and regulatory progress.

 

Sector and broader context

  • Tesla’s performance was intertwined with the “Magnificent Seven” tech theme, where investors favoured growth potential and AI narratives despite high valuation metrics.